Selasa, 01 Mei 2012
Oil turns higher on strong U.S. factory growth
By Robert Gibbons
NEW YORK
(Reuters) - Oil prices turned higher on Tuesday after data showing the
U.S. manufacturing sector expanded in April at its fastest pace in 10
months eased concerns about slowing economic growth.
The supportive U.S. factory data from the Institute of Supply Management
(ISM) helped send U.S. crude to its highest settlement in five weeks
and boosted equities, sending the Dow to its highest level since
December 2007. .N
Technical buying kicked in after U.S. crude moved above the 50-day
moving average at $105.21 a barrel. Crude had hit formidable resistance
at that level in recent sessions.
"The ISM data pushed crude up and strong equities are helping, and when
crude moved above the 50-day moving average that triggered some
technical buying," said Gene McGillian, analyst at Tradition Energy in
Stamford, Connecticut.
Earlier data showing China's official purchasing managers' index (PMI)
rose in April limited losses related to worries about sputtering U.S.
and euro-zone economic growth.
Brent June crude rose 19 cents to settle at $119.66 a barrel, after two
weaker closes, having swung from $118.80 to $120.02. U.S. June crude
gained $1.29 to settle at $106.16, its highest close since March 27.
Total U.S. crude trading volume outpaced Brent's and exceeded its 30-day
average by 5 percent. Brent's turnover was 23 percent under its 30-day
average as a holiday that shut markets in much of Europe and Asia helped
limit volumes.
U.S. RBOB gasoline futures fell more than 2 cents, with the June
contract in the front-month spot after the expiration of the May
contract on Monday. Heating oil closed less than a penny higher.
U.S. gasoline demand fell last week from the previous week and was down
5.6 percent from a year ago, even with lower prices at the pump,
MasterCard said in a report.
BRENT/U.S. CRUDE SPREAD NARROWS
The Brent/U.S. crude spread narrowed, leaving Brent's premium at $13.50 a
barrel. The possibility of another pipeline reversal to alleviate a
glut in Midwest crude supplies may have helped narrow the spread,
brokers and traders said.
Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) said in its earnings conference call it
is considering all options for the Capline crude oil pipeline running
from Louisiana to the U.S. Midwest.
But the CEO later said in an interview with Reuters the need to supply
one of its Midwest refiners via Capline may prevent a reversal.
Last month's news of a plan to reverse the flow of the Seaway oil
pipeline by mid-May, ahead of schedule, helped sharply reduce Brent's
premium to U.S. crude.
EXPANDING FACTORY SECTORS
The ISM said its U.S. factory activity index rose to 54.8 in April,
against expectations for a decline. Readings above 50 signal expansion
while those below 50 point to contraction.
ISM's gauge of employment also rose, to its highest since last June, a
strong number arriving ahead of the U.S. April nonfarm payrolls report
due on Friday, which is forecast to show the economy added 170,000 jobs.
China's official PMI reached 53.3 in April, up from 53.1 in March. But
that boost fell short of expectations and the National Bureau of
Statistics noted many industries remained weak, among them chemicals,
autos and oil refining.
OIL SUPPLY PICTURE
U.S. crude oil stocks rose 2 million barrels last week, the industry
group American Petroleum Institute (API) said, less than expected.
Gasoline stocks fell 3.9 million barrels and distillate stocks fell 4.2
million barrels.
Ahead of weekly inventory reports, a rise of 2.5 million barrels for
crude, a sixth consecutive build, was forecast in a Reuters survey of
analysts.
Gasoline stocks were expected to have fallen 800,000 barrels, along with
distillate stocks sliding 200,000 barrels.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration's inventory report will
follow on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT).
OPEC production in April hit its highest level since 2008, a Reuters
survey found on Monday. Increased output from Iraq, Saudi Arabia and
Libya more than offset shrinking Iranian supply ahead of a European
Union embargo on Tehran's oil set for July, the survey said.
Tensions over Iran's disputed nuclear program and the potential for
supply disruption helped boost oil prices in the first quarter. But
revived talks between Iran and major powers in April and more
negotiations set for late May have allowed some deflation of the
geopolitical fear premium.
(Additional reporting by Gene Ramos in New York, Peg Mackey and Zaida
Espana in London and Florence Tan in Singapore; Editing by Dale Hudson,
Bob Burgdorfer and Jim Marshall)
http://www.reuters.com/ article/2012/05/01/us-markets- oil-idUSBRE83H17O20120501
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